Variation in Spatial Trend of Passengers and Aircrafts Movement in Nigerian International Airports
Afolayan, Olusola Samuel; Asaju, Ayodeji Joel; Malik, N.A

Abstract
This paper examines the movement of passengers through air transportation in Nigeria with more emphasis on the rate of arrival and departure in Nigerian International Airports. Although, people move for various reasons. The aim of this paper is to verify the trend of movement of passengers and flights in and out of the country for the period of eleven (12) years, starting from 2000 to 2011.The movement of people from one geographical location to the other varies in relation to season and air transportation capacity within the country differ with respect to the number of patronage from passengers at different international airports. The outward and inward movement in Nigeria is also the function of season. Through trend analysis with the aid of Time Series Analysis, result indicates that arrival and departure always high around festive and pilgrimage periods than any other months of the year. Annual variation between passengers and aircrafts were correlated and statistically significant with the result of 0.987 @ 0.01 level of significant. However, annual trend and pattern of passenger and aircraft movement in term of percentage variation shows high rate of change in passenger than aircraft for observed years. International Airport should be spatially situated according to population distribution and density instead of political consideration.

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